In its December 2017 Country risk services report for Malawi, the London based EIU said it expected that Mutharika, and the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) would remain in power throughout the forecast period including securing a re-election in 2019.
Reads part of the report: “Malawi's underlying stability is not under threat, although a volatile political scene and low public confidence in state institutions will stoke some political volatility.
“The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the President, Peter Mutharika, and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to remain in power throughout the forecast period, securing re-election in 2019.
“Political volatility is likely to intensify in the run-up to and the immediate aftermath of the polls, as has been the case in each of Malawi's recent election periods.”
Commenting on the development, Political Analyst Nandin Patel said the prediction of likely Mutharika victory was not surprising as it reflects reality on the ground.
“The preposition that no one party will secure a majority in the Legislature and the DPP could well win the presidency though with a small margin seems to be the likely scenario,” said Patel to a local newspaper on Friday.
On his part, Information and Communications Technology Minister Nicholas Dausi welcomed the report, saying the DPP will likely win because it was also addressing its shortfalls.