APM likely to win 2019 polls —IPOR report

Written by 

Malawi’s Institute of Public Opinion Research (Ipor)  survey on the political environment towards the 2019 Tripartite Elections shows  President Peter Mutharika and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) may have an edge over the opposition to get his second and mandatory final five-year term.


Said:  “Specifically,  27% of Malawians said they would vote for the DPP candidate if elections were held in August 2018, followed in second place by the MCP candidate on 24%. The presidential candidate of the newest party on the political, UTM, was favoured by 16% of Malawians, while the UDF and PP candidates enjoyed 6% and 5% support respectively.”

The report further added: “In terms of voting intentions, in the presidential, parliamentary and local government races, the ruling DPP was ahead in the national vote, followed very closely by the MCP”, the report by the survey firm says.

In the report, IPOR reveals that the DPP leads on party identification (support) with 33% ahead of MCP) (31%) and UTM (17%).

The poll survey firm based in eastern city of Zomba,  said on political party popularity, the ruling DPP  held a narrow lead in terms of the proportion of Malawians indicating that they supported the party with 33%.

The party enjoys a great balance of support across all regions.  The populous Southern Region remains DPP’s stronghold.

DPP will have an increased performance in the Central Region, coming second. However, it comes second to UTM in the North – with a very narrow margin.

Interestingly, the DPP has shown a strong performance in both urban and rural areas.

Since 2014, no Malawian has died of hunger. The economy has been stable and growing, leading the SADC region in performance. Inflation remains stable under 9%. The interest rate has remained unchanged at 16%. These factors have led to the improved conditions of the lives of Malawians.

The report outcomes are in line with findings of the Economist Intelligence Unit  (EIU), an internationally acclaimed risk and forecast think-tank, which  predicted President Mutharika to win .

The survey was conducted with support by Centre for Multiparty Democracy (CMD) was carried by University of Malawi professors Blessings Chinsinga, Boniface Dulani, Joseph Chunga and Mwayi Masumbu.

DPP Spokesperson Nicholas Dausi appalauded the findings that it would win, that it enjoys popularity across the age group and the urban and rural areas, citing the stability of the currency, youth oriented programmes like community colleges and the internship programme as some of its flagship projects.

Dausi said the party would take the negative findings to heart as it was food for thought.

Said Dausi: “We take this report as valuabke advise. It gives us hope that if we work harder we will win.”

Dausi farther said the report has put UTM of Saulos Chilima at its rightful place saying it vindicate its stand that the grouping was not a threat.

“Now the dust is settling, the political tantrums of the time are nolonger important. If the survey was done today, things would be different,” he said to a local newspaper.

Get Your Newsletter